Thunder vs. Nuggets Predictions, Odds & Stats – March 9

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The Western's top two teams, the Oklahoma City Thunder (52-11) and the Denver Nuggets (41-22), take the court at Paycom Center on Sunday, March 9, 2025 at 1 p.m. ET on ABC and ESPN+. The Thunder are favored by 7.5 points at home.

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Thunder vs. Nuggets Predictions for Sunday

Our computer projection model for this contest predicts a final score of Thunder 121, Nuggets 110.

  • Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-333)
  • Total Pick: Under 240.5 (computer predicts 231.5 points)
  • Pick ATS: Thunder (-7.5)

Recent Thunder vs. Nuggets Matchups

Thunder vs Nuggets (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
11/6/2024 Thunder -7 224.5 -256 +215 124-122 DEN
10/24/2024 Nuggets -2 228.5 -134 +113 102-87 OKC
1/31/2024 Thunder -5.5 223 -221 +180 105-100 OKC
12/29/2023 Nuggets -1.5 237.5 -125 +105 119-93 OKC
12/16/2023 Nuggets -5 237.5 -206 +171 118-117 OKC
10/29/2023 Nuggets -3.5 230.5 -163 +139 128-95 DEN

Thunder 2024-25 Betting Trends

  • So far this season, Oklahoma City has put together a 39-23-1 record against the spread.
  • The Thunder have a 23-15-1 record against the spread in games they were favored by 7.5 points or more this season.
  • Oklahoma City has hit the over in 36 of its 63 games with a set total (57.1%).
  • The Thunder have been favorites in 61 games this season and won 51 (83.6%) of those contests.
  • This season, Oklahoma City has won 30 of its 35 games, or 85.7%, when favored by at least -333 on the moneyline.

Nuggets 2024-25 Betting Trends

  • Denver has gone 31-32-0 ATS this season.
  • The Nuggets are winless against the spread (0-1) when playing as at least 7.5-point underdogs.
  • In Denver's 63 games with a set total, 37 have hit the over (58.7%).
  • The Nuggets have a 7-7 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 50% of those games).
  • Denver has played as a moneyline underdog of +266 or longer in just one game this season, which it lost.

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Thunder vs. Nuggets Injury Report

Thunder

Thunder:

Nikola Topic: Out For Season (Acl),

Ajay Mitchell: Out (Toe)

Nuggets

Nuggets:

DaRon Holmes: Out For Season (Achilles),

Julian Strawther: Out (Knee),

Nikola Jokic: Probable (Ankle),

Aaron Gordon: Probable (Ankle)

Thunder vs. Nuggets Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Sunday, March 9, 2025
  • Game time: 1 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: ABC and ESPN+
  • Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
  • Arena: Paycom Center
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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