Thunder vs. Mavericks Predictions, Odds & Stats – Oct. 27

The Oklahoma City Thunder (3-0) will try to build on a three-game win streak when they visit the Dallas Mavericks (1-2) on Monday, October 27, 2025 at American Airlines Center as 8.5-point favorites. The matchup airs at 8:30 p.m. ET on KFAA and FDSOK.

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Listen to the game on 97.1 The Eagle

Thunder vs. Mavericks Predictions for Monday

Our computer projections model for this game calls for a final tally of Thunder 124, Mavericks 118.

  • Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-334)
  • Total Pick: Over 226.5 (computer predicts 241.8 points)
  • Pick ATS: Mavericks (+8.5)

Recent Thunder vs. Mavericks Matchups

Thunder vs Mavericks (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
1/23/2025 Thunder -11.5 224.5 -606 +447 121-115 DAL
1/17/2025 Thunder -3.5 221.5 -168 +143 106-98 DAL
12/10/2024 Thunder -4.5 230 -182 +152 118-104 OKC
11/17/2024 Thunder -7.5 226 -298 +238 121-119 DAL

Thunder 2024-25 Betting Trends

  • Oklahoma City was 54-26-2 against the spread last season.
  • As 8.5-point favorites or greater, the Thunder went 29-16-1 against the spread last year.
  • Oklahoma City had 46 of its 82 games hit the over last year.
  • The Thunder finished with a 66-13 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 83.5% of those games).
  • When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -334 or shorter last year, Oklahoma City had a record of 40-7 (85.1%).

Mavericks 2024-25 Betting Trends

  • Dallas went 39-42-1 ATS last year.
  • The Mavericks went 5-11 as underdogs of 8.5 points or greater last year.
  • In Dallas' games last season, the combined scoring went over the point total 46 times.
  • The Mavericks were underdogs in 46 games last season and won 16 (34.8%) of those contests.
  • Last season, Dallas won three of its 16 games, or 18.8%, when it was the underdog by at least +267 on the moneyline.

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Thunder vs. Mavericks Injury Report

Thunder

Thunder:

Kenrich Williams: Out (Knee),

Thomas Sorber: Out For Season (Knee),

Nikola Topic: Out (Groin),

Chet Holmgren: Questionable (Back),

Alex Caruso: Out (Concussion),

Jalen Williams: Out (Wrist),

Isaiah Joe: Out (Knee)

Mavericks

Mavericks:

Kyrie Irving: Out (Knee),

Daniel Gafford: Day-To-Day (Ankle),

Dante Exum: Day-To-Day (Knee)

Thunder vs. Mavericks Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Monday, October 27, 2025
  • Game time: 8:30 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: KFAA and FDSOK
  • Location: Dallas, Texas
  • Arena: American Airlines Center
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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