The Golden State Warriors (18-16) are heavy underdogs (by 13.5 points) to build on a three-game home winning streak when they host the Oklahoma City Thunder (29-5) on Friday, January 2, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET.
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Thunder vs. Warriors Predictions for Friday
Our computer projections model for this game predicts a final score of Thunder 118, Warriors 112.
- Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-735)
- Total Pick: Over 226.5 (computer predicts 229.4 points)
- Pick ATS: Warriors (+13.5)
Recent Thunder vs. Warriors Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/2/2025 | Thunder | -11.5 | 223.5 | -562 | +411 | 124-112 OKC |
| 11/11/2025 | Thunder | -7.5 | 227.5 | -312 | +249 | 126-102 OKC |
| 1/29/2025 | Thunder | -9.5 | 223.5 | -444 | +346 | 116-109 GS |
| 11/27/2024 | Thunder | -4.5 | 225.5 | -185 | +154 | 105-101 OKC |
| 11/10/2024 | Thunder | -6.5 | 227.5 | -258 | +210 | 127-116 GS |
Thunder 2025-26 Betting Trends
- So far this season, Oklahoma City has put together an 18-16-0 record against the spread.
- In games this season they were favored by 13.5 points or more, the Thunder have a 9-5 record against the spread.
- The teams have hit the over in 18 of Oklahoma City's 34 games with a set total.
- The Thunder have been favorites in 34 games this season and won 29 (85.3%) of those contests.
- Oklahoma City has been at least a -735 moneyline favorite 15 times this season and won all of those games.
Warriors 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Golden State's ATS record is 16-18-0 this year.
- Golden State's games have hit the over 20 out of 34 times (58.8%).
- The Warriors have gone 4-6 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 40% of those games).
- Golden State has yet to play as a moneyline underdog of +517 or longer.
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Thunder vs. Warriors Injury Report
Thunder
Thunder:
Thomas Sorber: Out For Season (Knee),
Ousmane Dieng: Out (Calf),
Jaylin Williams: Out (Heel),
Isaiah Hartenstein: Out (Calf),
Nikola Topic: Out (Groin)
Warriors
Warriors:
Seth Curry: Out (Thigh),
Draymond Green: Out (Rest),
Al Horford: Probable (Back),
Jimmy Butler: Out (Illness),
De'Anthony Melton: Out (Knee),
Stephen Curry: Out (Ankle),
Jonathan Kuminga: Out (Illness)
Thunder vs. Warriors Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Friday, January 2, 2026
- Game time: 10 p.m. ET
- TV channel: Amazon Prime Video, NBCS-BA, and FDSOK
- Location: San Francisco, California
- Arena: Chase Center
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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