The Oklahoma City Thunder (36-8) are favored by 9.5 points against the Milwaukee Bucks (18-24) on Wednesday, January 21, 2026 at 9:30 p.m. ET. The matchup airs on ESPN, FDSWI, and FDSOK.
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Thunder vs. Bucks Predictions for Wednesday
Our computer model for this contest expects a final score of Thunder 120, Bucks 109.
- Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-395)
- Total Pick: Over 225.5 (computer predicts 228.7 points)
- Pick ATS: Thunder (-9.5)
Recent Thunder vs. Bucks Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/16/2025 | Thunder | -5.5 | 233.5 | -221 | +182 | 121-105 OKC |
| 2/3/2025 | Thunder | -17 | 224.5 | -2000 | +1026 | 125-96 OKC |
Thunder 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Oklahoma City has a 22-22-0 record against the spread this season.
- In games this season they were favored by 9.5 points or more, the Thunder have a 15-15 record against the spread.
- A total of 23 of Oklahoma City's 42 games with a set total have hit the over (54.8%).
- The Thunder have been favorites in 44 games this season and won 36 (81.8%) of those contests.
- Oklahoma City has a record of 25-3, a 89.3% win rate, when it's favored by -395 or more by bookmakers this season.
Bucks 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Milwaukee is 19-23-0 ATS this season.
- The Bucks have a 4-0 record against the spread this season when an underdog by 9.5 points or more.
- Milwaukee has hit the over in 16 of its 42 games with a set total (38.1%).
- The Bucks have gone 8-15 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 34.8% of those games).
- Milwaukee has a record of 1-3 when it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +311 or longer (25%).
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Thunder vs. Bucks Injury Report
Thunder
Thunder:
Nikola Topic: Out (Groin),
Jalen Williams: Out (Thigh),
Alex Caruso: Out (Adductor),
Jaylin Williams: Questionable (Glute),
Isaiah Hartenstein: Out (Calf),
Thomas Sorber: Out For Season (Knee)
Bucks
Bucks:
Taurean Prince: Out (Neck),
Myles Turner: Questionable (Ankle),
Kevin Porter Jr.: Questionable (Oblique)
Thunder vs. Bucks Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Wednesday, January 21, 2026
- Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ESPN, FDSWI, and FDSOK
- Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
- Arena: Fiserv Forum
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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