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The Houston Rockets (31-19) are underdogs (by 4.5 points) to extend a three-game road win streak when they visit the Oklahoma City Thunder (40-12) on Saturday, February 7, 2026 at 3:30 p.m. ET.
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Thunder vs. Rockets Predictions for Saturday
Our computer projections model for this matchup expects a final result of Thunder 117, Rockets 109.
- Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-185)
- Total Pick: Over 213.5 (computer predicts 226.7 points)
- Pick ATS: Thunder (-4.5)
Recent Thunder vs. Rockets Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/15/2026 | Thunder | -4.5 | 221.5 | -172 | +144 | 111-91 OKC |
| 10/21/2025 | Thunder | -6.5 | 226.5 | -251 | +204 | 125-124 OKC |
| 4/4/2025 | Thunder | -5.5 | 227 | -230 | +190 | 125-111 HOU |
| 3/3/2025 | Thunder | -11.5 | 228.5 | -562 | +409 | 137-128 OKC |
| 12/14/2024 | Thunder | -5.5 | 215.5 | -245 | +199 | 111-96 OKC |
| 12/1/2024 | Thunder | -1.5 | 220.5 | -117 | -102 | 119-116 HOU |
| 11/8/2024 | Thunder | -7.5 | 222 | -346 | +271 | 126-107 OKC |
Thunder 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Oklahoma City has a 25-27-0 record against the spread this season.
- The Thunder are 25-25 against the spread when favored by 4.5 points or more this season.
- Out of Oklahoma City's 50 games with a set total, 28 have hit the over (56%).
- The Thunder have won 40, or 78.4%, of the 51 games they've played as favorites this season.
- This season, Oklahoma City has won 39 of its 49 games, or 79.6%, when favored by at least -185 on the moneyline.
Rockets 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Houston has gone 22-28-0 ATS this season.
- The Rockets are 1-1 against the spread when an underdog by 4.5 points or more this year.
- A total of 21 of Houston's 50 games with a set total have hit the over (42%).
- The Rockets have gone 2-2 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 50% of those games).
- Houston has played as a moneyline underdog of +154 or longer in just one game this season, which it lost.
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Thunder vs. Rockets Injury Report
Thunder
Thunder:
Ajay Mitchell: Out (Abdominal),
Jalen Williams: Out (Hamstring),
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Out (Abdominal),
Nikola Topic: Out (Groin),
Thomas Sorber: Out For Season (Knee)
Rockets
Rockets:
Jae'Sean Tate: Out (Wrist),
Fred VanVleet: Out For Season (Acl),
Steven Adams: Out For Season (Ankle)
Thunder vs. Rockets Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Saturday, February 7, 2026
- Game time: 3:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ABC
- Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
- Arena: Paycom Center
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