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The Oklahoma City Thunder (45-15) are at home in Northwest Division action against the Denver Nuggets (37-22) on Friday, February 27, 2026 at 9:30 p.m. ET. The Thunder are favored by 8.5 points in the game, the second matchup between the teams this season.
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Thunder vs. Nuggets Predictions for Friday
Our computer projection model for this contest calls for a final tally of Thunder 120, Nuggets 111.
- Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-312)
- Total Pick: Under 233.5 (computer predicts 231.8 points)
- Pick ATS: Thunder (-8.5)
Recent Thunder vs. Nuggets Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/1/2026 | Thunder | -6.5 | 226.5 | -232 | +191 | 121-111 OKC |
| 5/18/2025 | Thunder | -8.5 | 214.5 | -319 | +257 | 125-93 OKC |
| 5/15/2025 | Thunder | -5 | 217 | -196 | +163 | 119-107 DEN |
| 5/13/2025 | Thunder | -10 | 222 | -448 | +345 | 112-105 OKC |
| 5/11/2025 | Thunder | -6.5 | 228 | -275 | +224 | 92-87 OKC |
| 5/9/2025 | Thunder | -6.5 | 232 | -266 | +217 | 113-104 DEN |
| 5/7/2025 | Thunder | -10 | 229.5 | -488 | +371 | 149-106 OKC |
| 5/5/2025 | Thunder | -10.5 | 228.5 | -481 | +366 | 121-119 DEN |
| 3/10/2025 | Thunder | -8.5 | 240.5 | -403 | +315 | 140-127 DEN |
| 3/9/2025 | Thunder | -7.5 | 243.5 | -311 | +249 | 127-103 OKC |
| 11/6/2024 | Thunder | -7 | 224.5 | -256 | +215 | 124-122 DEN |
| 10/24/2024 | Nuggets | -2 | 228.5 | -134 | +113 | 102-87 OKC |
Thunder 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Oklahoma City is 31-29-0 against the spread this season.
- In games this season they were favored by 8.5 points or more, the Thunder have a 22-20 record against the spread.
- Oklahoma City's games have gone over the point total in 34 out of 59 opportunities (57.6%).
- This season, the Thunder have been favored 56 times and won 43, or 76.8%, of those games.
- Oklahoma City has a record of 34-8, a 81% win rate, when it's favored by -312 or more by oddsmakers this season.
Nuggets 2025-26 Betting Trends
- So far this season, Denver has compiled a 33-26-0 record against the spread.
- The Nuggets have a 3-0 record against the spread in games they were an underdog by 8.5 points or more this year.
- Denver's games have gone over the point total 36 out of 59 times (61%).
- The Nuggets have won 47.4% of the games this season they were the moneyline underdog (9-10).
- Denver has gone 3-1 in games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +251 or longer (75%).
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Thunder vs. Nuggets Injury Report
Thunder
Thunder:
Thomas Sorber: Out For Season (Knee),
Ajay Mitchell: Out (Abdomen),
Jalen Williams: Out (Hamstring),
Alex Caruso: Day-To-Day (Ankle),
Chet Holmgren: Day-To-Day (Back),
Isaiah Joe: Day-To-Day (Lower Body),
Isaiah Hartenstein: Day-To-Day (Illness Management),
Branden Carlson: Out (Back)
Nuggets
Nuggets:
Peyton Watson: Out (Hamstring),
Aaron Gordon: Out (Hamstring),
Tamar Bates: Out (Foot),
Jamal Murray: Questionable (Illness),
Jalen Pickett: Questionable (Knee),
Julian Strawther: Probable (Toe),
Spencer Jones: Questionable (Shoulder)
Thunder vs. Nuggets Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Friday, February 27, 2026
- Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ESPN, ALT, and FDSOK
- Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
- Arena: Paycom Center
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