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The Oklahoma City Thunder (50-15) will try to continue a five-game win streak when they host the Denver Nuggets (39-25) on Monday, March 9, 2026 at Paycom Center as 6.5-point favorites. The matchup airs at 7:30 p.m. ET on Peacock.
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Thunder vs. Nuggets Predictions for Monday
Our computer projection model for this encounter predicts a final score of Thunder 121, Nuggets 111.
- Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-262)
- Total Pick: Under 232.5 (computer predicts 231.4 points)
- Pick ATS: Thunder (-6.5)
Recent Thunder vs. Nuggets Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/27/2026 | Thunder | -7.5 | 235 | -253 | +206 | 127-121 OKC |
| 2/1/2026 | Thunder | -6.5 | 226.5 | -232 | +191 | 121-111 OKC |
| 5/18/2025 | Thunder | -8.5 | 214.5 | -319 | +257 | 125-93 OKC |
| 5/15/2025 | Thunder | -5 | 217 | -196 | +163 | 119-107 DEN |
| 5/13/2025 | Thunder | -10 | 222 | -448 | +345 | 112-105 OKC |
| 5/11/2025 | Thunder | -6.5 | 228 | -275 | +224 | 92-87 OKC |
| 5/9/2025 | Thunder | -6.5 | 232 | -266 | +217 | 113-104 DEN |
| 5/7/2025 | Thunder | -10 | 229.5 | -488 | +371 | 149-106 OKC |
| 5/5/2025 | Thunder | -10.5 | 228.5 | -481 | +366 | 121-119 DEN |
| 3/10/2025 | Thunder | -8.5 | 240.5 | -403 | +315 | 140-127 DEN |
| 3/9/2025 | Thunder | -7.5 | 243.5 | -311 | +249 | 127-103 OKC |
| 11/6/2024 | Thunder | -7 | 224.5 | -256 | +215 | 124-122 DEN |
| 10/24/2024 | Nuggets | -2 | 228.5 | -134 | +113 | 102-87 OKC |
Thunder 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Oklahoma City has a 31-34-0 record against the spread this season.
- In games this season they were favored by 6.5 points or more, the Thunder have a 26-28 record against the spread.
- Oklahoma City's games have hit the over in 35 out of 64 opportunities (54.7%).
- The Thunder have won 48, or 78.7%, of the 61 games they've played as favorites this season.
- This season, Oklahoma City has won 40 of its 49 games, or 81.6%, when favored by at least -262 on the moneyline.
Nuggets 2025-26 Betting Trends
- So far this year, Denver has put together a 35-29-0 record against the spread.
- In games this year in which they were an underdog by 6.5 points or more, the Nuggets have a 7-1 record against the spread.
- The teams have combined to hit the over in 39 of Denver's 64 games with a set total.
- The Nuggets have won nine of the 20 games they were the moneyline underdog this season (45%).
- Denver has gone 3-2 in games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +212 or longer (60%).
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Thunder vs. Nuggets Injury Report
Thunder
Thunder:
Thomas Sorber: Out For Season (Knee),
Alex Caruso: Questionable (Hip),
Branden Carlson: Out (Back),
Jalen Williams: Out (Hamstring),
Chet Holmgren: Questionable (Illness),
Isaiah Hartenstein: Out (Calf)
Nuggets
Nuggets:
Peyton Watson: Out (Hamstring),
Jamal Murray: Questionable (Ankle)
Thunder vs. Nuggets Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Monday, March 9, 2026
- Game time: 7:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: Peacock
- Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
- Arena: Paycom Center
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