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The Oklahoma City Thunder are double-digit 15.5-point favorites for Game 1 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Phoenix Suns at Paycom Center on Sunday, starting at 3:30 p.m. ET on ABC.
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Suns vs. Thunder Predictions for Sunday
Our computer model for this matchup expects a final score of Thunder 119, Suns 107.
- Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-1333)
- Total Pick: Over 215.5 (computer predicts 225.2 points)
- Pick ATS: Suns (+15.5)
Recent Suns vs. Thunder Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/12/2026 | Thunder | -7.5 | 212.5 | -329 | +263 | 135-103 PHO |
| 2/11/2026 | Thunder | -8.5 | 213.5 | -293 | +236 | 136-109 OKC |
| 1/4/2026 | Thunder | -9.5 | 229.5 | -383 | +303 | 108-105 PHO |
| 12/10/2025 | Thunder | -15.5 | 221.5 | -1176 | +736 | 138-89 OKC |
| 11/28/2025 | Thunder | -14.5 | 223.5 | -1020 | +658 | 123-119 OKC |
| 4/9/2025 | Thunder | -7.5 | 228.5 | -283 | +230 | 125-112 OKC |
| 2/5/2025 | Thunder | -13 | 229.5 | -775 | +536 | 140-109 OKC |
| 11/15/2024 | Thunder | -8 | 227 | -321 | +253 | 99-83 OKC |
Thunder 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Oklahoma City has a 39-43-0 record against the spread this season.
- The Thunder have a 14-10 record against the spread when favored by 15.5 points or more this season.
- In Oklahoma City's 82 games with a set total, 45 have hit the over (54.9%).
- The Thunder have been favorites in 77 games this season and won 62 (80.5%) of those contests.
- Oklahoma City has been at least a -1333 moneyline favorite 10 times this season and won all of those games.
Suns 2025-26 Betting Trends
- So far this year, Phoenix has put together a 48-34-0 record against the spread.
- The Suns are winless against the spread (0-1) when playing as at least 15.5-point underdogs.
- In Phoenix's 82 games with a set total, 37 have hit the over (45.1%).
- The Suns are 16-27 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 37.2% of those games).
- Phoenix has yet to play as a moneyline underdog of +790 or longer.
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Suns vs. Thunder Injury Report
Thunder
Thunder:
Thomas Sorber: Out For Season (Knee)
Suns
Suns:
Mark Williams: Questionable (Foot),
Grayson Allen: Questionable (Hamstring)
Suns vs. Thunder Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Sunday, April 19, 2026
- Game time: 3:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ABC
- Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
- Arena: Paycom Center
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