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The Phoenix Suns are 8.5-point underdogs for Game 3 of the first round of the NBA Playoffs against the Oklahoma City Thunder at PHX Arena on Saturday, beginning at 3:30 p.m. ET on NBC/Peacock. The Thunder are on top 2-0 in the series.
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Thunder vs. Suns Predictions for Saturday
Our computer model for this game calls for a final tally of Thunder 116, Suns 109.
- Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-394)
- Total Pick: Over 212.5 (computer predicts 225.0 points)
- Pick ATS: Suns (+8.5)
Recent Thunder vs. Suns Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/22/2026 | Thunder | -16.5 | 216.5 | -1852 | +996 | 120-107 OKC |
| 4/19/2026 | Thunder | -15.5 | 215.5 | -1408 | +829 | 119-84 OKC |
| 4/12/2026 | Thunder | -7.5 | 212.5 | -329 | +263 | 135-103 PHO |
| 2/11/2026 | Thunder | -8.5 | 213.5 | -293 | +236 | 136-109 OKC |
| 1/4/2026 | Thunder | -9.5 | 229.5 | -383 | +303 | 108-105 PHO |
| 12/10/2025 | Thunder | -15.5 | 221.5 | -1176 | +736 | 138-89 OKC |
| 11/28/2025 | Thunder | -14.5 | 223.5 | -1020 | +658 | 123-119 OKC |
| 4/9/2025 | Thunder | -7.5 | 228.5 | -283 | +230 | 125-112 OKC |
| 2/5/2025 | Thunder | -13 | 229.5 | -775 | +536 | 140-109 OKC |
| 11/15/2024 | Thunder | -8 | 227 | -321 | +253 | 99-83 OKC |
Thunder 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Oklahoma City has a 39-43-0 record against the spread this season.
- The Thunder have a 29-28 record against the spread this season when favored by 8.5 points or more.
- The teams have hit the over in 45 of Oklahoma City's 82 games with a set total.
- The Thunder have been favorites in 77 games this season and won 62 (80.5%) of those contests.
- Oklahoma City has a record of 39-6, a 86.7% win rate, when it's favored by -394 or more by oddsmakers this season.
Suns 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Phoenix has gone 48-34-0 ATS this year.
- The Suns have a 6-6 record against the spread in games they were an underdog by 8.5 points or more this year.
- Phoenix's games have gone over the point total 37 out of 82 times (45.1%).
- The Suns have been the moneyline underdog 43 total times this season. They've gone 16-27 in those games.
- Phoenix has not yet won a game when they entered play as a moneyline underdog with odds of +307 or longer in seven chances.
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Thunder vs. Suns Injury Report
Thunder
Thunder:
Jalen Williams: Out (Hamstring),
Isaiah Joe: Day-To-Day (Personal),
Thomas Sorber: Out For Season (Knee)
Suns
Suns:
Mark Williams: Out (Foot),
Grayson Allen: Questionable (Hamstring),
Jordan Goodwin: Questionable (Calf)
Thunder vs. Suns Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Saturday, April 25, 2026
- Game time: 3:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: NBC/Peacock
- Location: Phoenix, Arizona
- Arena: PHX Arena
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