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The Oklahoma City Thunder are double-digit 10.5-point favorites heading into a decisive Game 4 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Phoenix Suns at PHX Arena on Monday, beginning at 9:30 p.m. ET on Peacock and NBC Sports. The Thunder have a 3-0 lead in the series.
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Thunder vs. Suns Predictions for Monday
Our computer projections model for this matchup predicts a final result of Thunder 116, Suns 109.
- Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-535)
- Total Pick: Over 214.5 (computer predicts 225.0 points)
- Pick ATS: Suns (+10.5)
Recent Thunder vs. Suns Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/25/2026 | Thunder | -8.5 | 212.5 | -383 | +303 | 121-109 OKC |
| 4/22/2026 | Thunder | -16.5 | 216.5 | -1852 | +996 | 120-107 OKC |
| 4/19/2026 | Thunder | -15.5 | 215.5 | -1408 | +829 | 119-84 OKC |
| 4/12/2026 | Thunder | -7.5 | 212.5 | -329 | +263 | 135-103 PHO |
| 2/11/2026 | Thunder | -8.5 | 213.5 | -293 | +236 | 136-109 OKC |
| 1/4/2026 | Thunder | -9.5 | 229.5 | -383 | +303 | 108-105 PHO |
| 12/10/2025 | Thunder | -15.5 | 221.5 | -1176 | +736 | 138-89 OKC |
| 11/28/2025 | Thunder | -14.5 | 223.5 | -1020 | +658 | 123-119 OKC |
| 4/9/2025 | Thunder | -7.5 | 228.5 | -283 | +230 | 125-112 OKC |
| 2/5/2025 | Thunder | -13 | 229.5 | -775 | +536 | 140-109 OKC |
| 11/15/2024 | Thunder | -8 | 227 | -321 | +253 | 99-83 OKC |
Thunder 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Oklahoma City is 39-43-0 against the spread this season.
- The Thunder have a 22-21 record against the spread this season when favored by 10.5 points or more.
- Out of Oklahoma City's 82 games with a set total, 45 have hit the over (54.9%).
- The Thunder have been favorites in 77 games this season and won 62 (80.5%) of those contests.
- Oklahoma City has a record of 34-3, a 91.9% win rate, when it's favored by -535 or more by sportsbooks this season.
Suns 2025-26 Betting Trends
- So far this season, Phoenix has put together a 48-34-0 record against the spread.
- The Suns have a 1-3 record against the spread in games they were an underdog by 10.5 points or more this season.
- Of Phoenix's 82 games with a set total, 37 have hit the over (45.1%).
- The Suns have won 16 of the 43 games they were the moneyline underdog this season (37.2%).
- Phoenix has not yet won a game when they entered play as a moneyline underdog with odds of +398 or longer in three chances.
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Thunder vs. Suns Injury Report
Thunder
Thunder:
Jalen Williams: Out (Hamstring),
Thomas Sorber: Out For Season (Knee)
Suns
Suns:
Mark Williams: Out (Foot),
Jordan Goodwin: Questionable (Calf)
Thunder vs. Suns Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Monday, April 27, 2026
- Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: Peacock and NBC Sports
- Location: Phoenix, Arizona
- Arena: PHX Arena
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