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The Oklahoma City Thunder are double-digit 15.5-point favorites heading into Game 2 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Los Angeles Lakers at Paycom Center on Thursday, beginning at 9:30 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime Video. The Thunder have a 1-0 series lead.
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Lakers vs. Thunder Predictions for Thursday
Our computer projections model for this matchup calls for a final result of Thunder 120, Lakers 108.
- Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-909)
- Total Pick: Over 210.5 (computer predicts 227.5 points)
- Pick ATS: Lakers (+15.5)
Recent Lakers vs. Thunder Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/5/2026 | Thunder | -15.5 | 212.5 | -901 | +602 | 108-90 OKC |
| 4/7/2026 | Thunder | -18 | 220.5 | -2439 | +1160 | 123-87 OKC |
| 4/2/2026 | Thunder | -9.5 | 232.5 | -385 | +304 | 139-96 OKC |
| 2/9/2026 | Thunder | -6.5 | 222.5 | -242 | +197 | 119-110 OKC |
| 11/12/2025 | Thunder | -8 | 229.5 | -326 | +261 | 121-92 OKC |
| 4/8/2025 | Thunder | -9.5 | 230 | -405 | +316 | 136-120 OKC |
| 4/6/2025 | Thunder | -9.5 | 231 | -410 | +318 | 126-99 LAL |
| 11/29/2024 | Thunder | -3 | 229.5 | -153 | +129 | 101-93 OKC |
Thunder 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Oklahoma City is 39-43-0 against the spread this season.
- The Thunder have a 14-10 record against the spread this season when favored by 15.5 points or more.
- Oklahoma City has gone over in 45 of its 82 games with a set total (54.9%).
- The Thunder have won 62, or 80.5%, of the 77 games they've played as favorites this season.
- Oklahoma City has a record of 22-2, a 91.7% win rate, when it's favored by -909 or more by sportsbooks this season.
Lakers 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Los Angeles is 45-37-0 against the spread this season.
- The Lakers are 0-1 against the spread when an underdog by 15.5 points or more this season.
- The teams have combined to hit the over in 42 of Los Angeles' 82 games with a set total.
- The Lakers have won 15 of the 33 games they were the moneyline underdog this season (45.5%).
- Los Angeles has played as a moneyline underdog of +608 or longer in just one game this season, which it lost.
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Lakers vs. Thunder Injury Report
Thunder
Thunder:
Jalen Williams: Out (Hamstring),
Thomas Sorber: Out For Season (Knee)
Lakers
Lakers:
Luke Kennard: Questionable (Neck),
Luka Doncic: Out (Hamstring),
Jarred Vanderbilt: Day-To-Day (Finger)
Lakers vs. Thunder Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Thursday, May 7, 2026
- Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: Amazon Prime Video
- Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
- Arena: Paycom Center
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