Spurs vs. Thunder Game 1 Predictions, Odds & Stats – May 18

Philadelphia 76ers v Oklahoma City Thunder

Photo: Joshua Gateley / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The San Antonio Spurs are 6.5-point underdogs in Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals against the Oklahoma City Thunder at Paycom Center on Monday, tipping off at 8:30 p.m. ET on NBC/Peacock.

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Spurs vs. Thunder Predictions for Monday

Our computer projections model for this contest predicts a final tally of Thunder 116, Spurs 112.

  • Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-241)
  • Total Pick: Over 219.5 (computer predicts 228.4 points)
  • Pick ATS: Spurs (+6.5)

Recent Spurs vs. Thunder Matchups

Thunder vs Spurs (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
2/4/2026 Spurs -9.5 221.5 -420 +325 116-106 SA
1/13/2026 Thunder -8.5 230.5 -304 +245 119-98 OKC
12/25/2025 Thunder -9.5 235 -372 +294 117-102 SA
12/23/2025 Thunder -6.5 235.5 -237 +195 130-110 SA
12/13/2025 Thunder -10.5 233.5 -513 +386 111-109 SA
3/2/2025 Thunder -13 238.5 -787 +541 146-132 OKC
11/19/2024 Thunder -10 222.5 -510 +382 110-104 SA
10/30/2024 Thunder -12.5 220.5 -787 +548 105-93 OKC

Thunder 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • Oklahoma City is 39-43-0 ATS this season.
  • In games this season they were favored by 6.5 points or more, the Thunder have a 34-34 record against the spread.
  • The teams have hit the over in 45 of Oklahoma City's 82 games with a set total.
  • The Thunder have won 62, or 80.5%, of the 77 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Oklahoma City has a record of 56-10, a 84.8% win rate, when it's favored by -241 or more by sportsbooks this season.

Spurs 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • So far this season, San Antonio has put together a 45-35-2 record against the spread.
  • When they have played as at least 6.5-point underdogs this season, the Spurs are 6-1 against the spread.
  • San Antonio's games have hit the over 35 out of 82 times (42.7%).
  • The Spurs have been the moneyline underdog 19 total times this season. They've gone 13-6 in those games.
  • When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +197 or longer, San Antonio has gone 5-1 (83.3%).

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Spurs vs. Thunder Injury Report

Thunder

Thunder:

Thomas Sorber: Out For Season (Knee)

Spurs

Spurs:

De'Aaron Fox: Questionable (Ankle),

Luke Kornet: Questionable (Foot),

David Jones: Out For Season (Ankle)

Spurs vs. Thunder Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Monday, May 18, 2026
  • Game time: 8:30 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: NBC/Peacock
  • Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
  • Arena: Paycom Center

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