Photo: Ronald Cortes / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images
The San Antonio Spurs are slight 3.5-point favorites heading into a decisive Game 6 of the Western Conference Finals against the Oklahoma City Thunder at Frost Bank Center on Thursday, beginning at 8:30 p.m. ET on NBC/Peacock. The Thunder lead the series 3-2.
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Thunder vs. Spurs Predictions for Thursday
Our computer projection model for this contest calls for a final score of Spurs 115, Thunder 113.
- Moneyline Pick: Spurs (-153)
- Total Pick: Over 218.5 (computer predicts 228.3 points)
- Pick ATS: Thunder (+3.5)
Recent Thunder vs. Spurs Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/26/2026 | Thunder | -3.5 | 217.5 | -162 | +136 | 127-114 OKC |
| 5/24/2026 | Spurs | -2.5 | 219.5 | -150 | +126 | 103-82 SA |
| 5/22/2026 | Spurs | -2.5 | 218.5 | -139 | +117 | 123-108 OKC |
| 5/20/2026 | Thunder | -7.5 | 216.5 | -270 | +219 | 122-113 OKC |
| 5/18/2026 | Thunder | -6.5 | 219.5 | -250 | +204 | 122-115 SA |
| 2/4/2026 | Spurs | -9.5 | 221.5 | -420 | +325 | 116-106 SA |
| 1/13/2026 | Thunder | -8.5 | 230.5 | -304 | +245 | 119-98 OKC |
| 12/25/2025 | Thunder | -9.5 | 235 | -372 | +294 | 117-102 SA |
| 12/23/2025 | Thunder | -6.5 | 235.5 | -237 | +195 | 130-110 SA |
| 12/13/2025 | Thunder | -10.5 | 233.5 | -513 | +386 | 111-109 SA |
| 3/2/2025 | Thunder | -13 | 238.5 | -787 | +541 | 146-132 OKC |
| 11/19/2024 | Thunder | -10 | 222.5 | -510 | +382 | 110-104 SA |
| 10/30/2024 | Thunder | -12.5 | 220.5 | -787 | +548 | 105-93 OKC |
Spurs 2025-26 Betting Trends
- So far this season, San Antonio has put together a 45-35-2 record against the spread.
- The Spurs have a 29-26-2 record against the spread when favored by 3.5 points or more this season.
- Out of San Antonio's 82 games with a set total, 35 have hit the over (42.7%).
- The Spurs have entered the game as favorites 63 times this season and won 49, or 77.8%, of those games.
- This season, San Antonio has won 48 of its 58 games, or 82.8%, when favored by at least -153 on the moneyline.
Thunder 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Oklahoma City's ATS record is 39-43-0 this year.
- The Thunder have a 2-1 record against the spread when an underdog by 3.5 points or more this season.
- The teams have combined to hit the over in 45 of Oklahoma City's 82 games with a set total.
- The Thunder have won 40% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (2-3).
- Oklahoma City has gone 1-2 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +128 or longer (33.3%).
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Thunder vs. Spurs Injury Report
Spurs
Spurs:
David Jones: Out For Season (Ankle)
Thunder
Thunder:
Thomas Sorber: Out For Season (Knee),
Ajay Mitchell: Day-To-Day (Calf),
Jalen Williams: Day-To-Day (Hamstring)
Thunder vs. Spurs Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Thursday, May 28, 2026
- Game time: 8:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: NBC/Peacock
- Location: San Antonio, Texas
- Arena: Frost Bank Center
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