Photo: Ethan Miller / Getty Images Entertainment / Getty Images
Northwest Division opponents square off when the Oklahoma City Thunder (1-0) host the Denver Nuggets (0-0) at Paycom Center, starting at 9:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, October 22, 2026. The Thunder are 8.5-point favorites in the game, the first matchup between the teams this season.
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Nuggets vs. Thunder Predictions for Thursday
Our computer projections model for this contest predicts a final result of Thunder 121, Nuggets 111.
- Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-306)
- Total Pick: Under 235.5 (computer predicts 232.1 points)
- Pick ATS: Thunder (-8.5)
Recent Nuggets vs. Thunder Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/10/2026 | Nuggets | -2.5 | 223 | -137 | +116 | 127-107 DEN |
| 3/9/2026 | Thunder | -5.5 | 234.5 | -170 | +143 | 129-126 OKC |
| 2/27/2026 | Thunder | -7.5 | 235 | -253 | +206 | 127-121 OKC |
| 2/1/2026 | Thunder | -6.5 | 226.5 | -232 | +191 | 121-111 OKC |
Thunder 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Oklahoma City was 39-43-0 against the spread last season.
- As 8.5-point favorites or greater, the Thunder went 29-28 against the spread last season.
- Out of 82 Oklahoma City games last season, 45 went over the total.
- The Thunder finished with a 62-15 record in games they were favored on the moneyline last season (winning 80.5% of those games).
- When it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -306 or shorter last year, Oklahoma City had a record of 51-9 (85%).
Nuggets 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Denver compiled a 44-38-0 ATS record last season.
- The Nuggets went unbeaten ATS (4-0) as underdogs of 8.5 points or greater last season.
- In Denver's games last season, the combined scoring went over the point total 51 times.
- The Nuggets were underdogs in 24 games last season and won 12 (50%) of those contests.
- Denver had a record of 4-1 when it was set as the underdog by +246 or more by oddsmakers last season.
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Nuggets vs. Thunder Injury Report
Thunder
Thunder:
Otega Oweh: Out For Season (Achilles),
Nikola Topic: Day-To-Day (Back),
Thomas Sorber: Day-To-Day (Knee)
Nuggets
Nuggets:
Julian Strawther: Out (Knee)
Nuggets vs. Thunder Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Thursday, October 22, 2026
- Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ESPN
- Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
- Arena: Paycom Center
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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