Thunder vs. Mavericks Predictions, Odds & Stats – Oct. 28

Dallas Mavericks v Miami Heat

Photo: Megan Briggs / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The Oklahoma City Thunder (4-0) are 5.5-point favorites as they try to continue a four-game winning streak when they visit the Dallas Mavericks (2-2) on Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at American Airlines Center. The matchup airs at 9:30 p.m. ET on .

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Thunder vs. Mavericks Predictions for Wednesday

Our computer model for this game expects a final score of Thunder 115, Mavericks 105.

  • Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-220)
  • Total Pick: Under 228.5 (computer predicts 220.3 points)
  • Pick ATS: Thunder (-5.5)

Recent Thunder vs. Mavericks Matchups

Thunder vs Mavericks (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
3/1/2026 Thunder -16.5 235.5 -1190 +737 100-87 OKC
12/5/2025 Thunder -15.5 230.5 -1190 +740 132-111 OKC
10/27/2025 Thunder -8.5 226.5 -375 +296 101-94 OKC

Thunder 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • Oklahoma City was 39-43-0 against the spread last season.
  • The Thunder went 35-37 as 5.5-point favorites or more last year.
  • There were 45 Oklahoma City games (out of 82) that hit the over last season.
  • The Thunder finished with a 62-15 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 80.5% of those games).
  • When it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -220 or shorter last year, Oklahoma City finished with a record of 59-11 (84.3%).

Mavericks 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • Dallas compiled a 37-45-0 ATS record last year.
  • Against the spread, as underdogs of 5.5 points or more, the Mavericks went 22-21 last year.
  • Dallas and its opponent combined to go over the point total 37 out of 82 times last year.
  • Last season, the Mavericks were the underdog 59 times and won 15, or 25.4%, of those games.
  • Last season, Dallas won 10 of its 43 games, or 23.3%, when it was the underdog by at least +181 on the moneyline.

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Thunder vs. Mavericks Injury Report

Thunder

Thunder:

Cason Wallace: Out (Shoulder),

Jalen Williams: Out (Ankle),

Nikola Topic: Out (Back),

Thomas Sorber: Out (Knee),

Chet Holmgren: Out (Knee),

Ajay Mitchell: Questionable (Ankle),

Alex Caruso: Out (Ankle)

Mavericks

Mavericks:

Kyrie Irving: Questionable (Knee),

Santi Aldama: Day-To-Day (Knee),

Tarik Biberovic: Day-To-Day (Heel),

Caleb Martin: Questionable (Thumb),

Sergio De Larrea: Out (Knee),

Dereck Lively II: Out (Foot),

Naji Marshall: Questionable (Illness)

Thunder vs. Mavericks Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Wednesday, October 28, 2026
  • Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
  • TV channel:
  • Location: Dallas, Texas
  • Arena: American Airlines Center
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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